Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.440419 0.483012 0.528621 0.581209 0.640317 0.704865 0.780908
2025-11-23 0.367690 0.426356 0.493613 0.576921 0.678022 0.797608 0.951055
2025-11-30 0.328517 0.395347 0.475569 0.579960 0.713679 0.881229 1.110265
2025-12-07 0.295556 0.365985 0.453595 0.572116 0.730644 0.938831 1.238805
2025-12-14 0.269827 0.342176 0.434908 0.564568 0.744581 0.990897 1.362847
2025-12-21 0.244464 0.316138 0.410299 0.545638 0.739544 1.014361 1.446608
2025-12-28 0.232936 0.307229 0.407304 0.555260 0.774257 1.096271 1.625163
2026-01-04 0.222138 0.298240 0.403101 0.562180 0.804832 1.174117 1.806087
2026-01-11 0.211627 0.288723 0.397160 0.565591 0.829747 1.244890 1.983537
2026-01-18 0.201874 0.279505 0.390783 0.567460 0.851863 1.312656 2.163757
2026-01-25 0.193988 0.272400 0.386860 0.572488 0.878996 1.390748 2.371939
2026-02-01 0.182622 0.259390 0.373123 0.560807 0.877293 1.419104 2.491187
2026-02-08 0.175979 0.253240 0.369661 0.565674 0.904373 1.501490 2.728009
2026-02-15 0.167746 0.244182 0.361098 0.561487 0.915402 1.556126 2.918034
2026-02-22 0.161792 0.238278 0.357070 0.564428 0.939013 1.636174 3.172492
2026-03-01 0.154115 0.229215 0.347367 0.556839 0.942628 1.677998 3.350426
2026-03-08 0.147094 0.220820 0.338243 0.549535 0.945981 1.719359 3.533402
2026-03-15 0.138461 0.209399 0.323485 0.531216 0.926827 1.713125 3.604465
2026-03-22 0.135592 0.207240 0.324092 0.540528 0.961744 1.822157 3.970349
2026-03-29 0.132419 0.204400 0.323341 0.547225 0.991980 1.924582 4.338628
2026-04-05 0.128851 0.200709 0.320894 0.550526 1.015543 2.014998 4.692756
2026-04-12 0.125248 0.196781 0.317798 0.552334 1.036094 2.100894 5.051304
2026-04-19 0.122337 0.193890 0.316361 0.557198 1.063447 2.205635 5.484250